Files
cointrader/tests/test_ml_pipeline_fixes.py
21in7 c29d3e0569 feat(ml): add purged gap (embargo=24) to walk-forward + ablation CLI
- Add LOOKAHEAD embargo between train/val splits in all 3 WF functions
  to prevent label leakage from 6h lookahead window
- Add --ablation flag to train_model.py for signal_strength/side
  dependency diagnosis (A/B/C experiment with drop analysis)
- Criteria: A→C drop ≤0.05=good, 0.05-0.10=conditional, ≥0.10=redesign

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-21 19:42:51 +09:00

163 lines
6.1 KiB
Python

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import pytest
from src.dataset_builder import generate_dataset_vectorized, _calc_labels_vectorized
@pytest.fixture
def signal_df():
"""시그널이 발생하는 데이터."""
rng = np.random.default_rng(7)
n = 800
trend = np.linspace(1.5, 3.0, n)
noise = np.cumsum(rng.normal(0, 0.04, n))
close = np.clip(trend + noise, 0.01, None)
high = close * (1 + rng.uniform(0, 0.015, n))
low = close * (1 - rng.uniform(0, 0.015, n))
volume = rng.uniform(1e6, 3e6, n)
volume[::30] *= 3.0
return pd.DataFrame({
"open": close, "high": high, "low": low,
"close": close, "volume": volume,
})
def test_training_defaults_are_relaxed(signal_df):
"""generate_dataset_vectorized의 기본 임계값이 학습용 완화 값이어야 한다."""
from src.dataset_builder import (
TRAIN_SIGNAL_THRESHOLD, TRAIN_ADX_THRESHOLD,
TRAIN_VOLUME_MULTIPLIER, TRAIN_NEGATIVE_RATIO,
)
assert TRAIN_SIGNAL_THRESHOLD == 2
assert TRAIN_ADX_THRESHOLD == 15.0
assert TRAIN_VOLUME_MULTIPLIER == 1.5
assert TRAIN_NEGATIVE_RATIO == 3
# 완화된 기본값으로 샘플이 더 많이 생성되는지 검증
r_relaxed = generate_dataset_vectorized(signal_df)
r_strict = generate_dataset_vectorized(
signal_df, signal_threshold=3, adx_threshold=25, volume_multiplier=2.5,
)
assert len(r_relaxed) >= len(r_strict), \
f"완화된 임계값이 더 많은 샘플을 생성해야 한다: relaxed={len(r_relaxed)}, strict={len(r_strict)}"
def test_sltp_params_are_passed_through(signal_df):
"""SL/TP 배수가 generate_dataset_vectorized에 전달되어야 한다."""
# 파라미터가 수용되는지(TypeError 없이) 확인하는 것이 핵심
# negative_ratio=0으로 시그널 샘플만 비교 (HOLD 노이즈 제거)
r1 = generate_dataset_vectorized(
signal_df, atr_sl_mult=1.5, atr_tp_mult=2.0,
adx_threshold=0, volume_multiplier=1.5, negative_ratio=0,
)
r2 = generate_dataset_vectorized(
signal_df, atr_sl_mult=2.0, atr_tp_mult=2.0,
adx_threshold=0, volume_multiplier=1.5, negative_ratio=0,
)
# 두 결과 모두 DataFrame이어야 한다
assert isinstance(r1, pd.DataFrame)
assert isinstance(r2, pd.DataFrame)
# 신호가 충분히 많을 경우, 다른 SL 배수는 레이블 분포에 영향을 줄 수 있다
# 소규모 데이터에서는 동일한 결과가 나올 수 있으므로 50개 이상일 때만 검증
if len(r1) > 50 and len(r2) > 50:
assert not (r1["label"].values == r2["label"].values).all() or len(r1) != len(r2), \
"SL 배수가 다르면 레이블이 달라져야 한다"
def test_default_sltp_backward_compatible(signal_df):
"""SL/TP 파라미터 미지정 시 기본값(2.0, 2.0)으로 동작해야 한다."""
r_default = generate_dataset_vectorized(
signal_df, adx_threshold=0, volume_multiplier=1.5, negative_ratio=0,
)
r_explicit = generate_dataset_vectorized(
signal_df, atr_sl_mult=2.0, atr_tp_mult=2.0,
adx_threshold=0, volume_multiplier=1.5, negative_ratio=0,
)
if len(r_default) > 0:
assert len(r_default) == len(r_explicit)
assert (r_default["label"].values == r_explicit["label"].values).all()
def test_equity_curve_includes_unrealized_pnl():
"""에퀴티 커브에 미실현 PnL이 반영되어야 한다."""
from src.backtester import Backtester, BacktestConfig, Position
import pandas as pd
cfg = BacktestConfig(symbols=["TEST"], initial_balance=1000.0)
bt = Backtester.__new__(Backtester)
bt.cfg = cfg
bt.balance = 1000.0
bt._peak_equity = 1000.0
bt.equity_curve = []
bt.positions = {"TEST": Position(
symbol="TEST", side="LONG", entry_price=100.0,
quantity=10.0, sl=95.0, tp=110.0,
entry_time=pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01"), entry_fee=0.4,
)}
bt._record_equity(pd.Timestamp("2026-01-01 00:15:00"), current_prices={"TEST": 105.0})
last = bt.equity_curve[-1]
assert last["equity"] == 1050.0, f"Expected 1050.0 (1000+50), got {last['equity']}"
def test_mlx_no_double_normalization():
"""MLXFilter.fit()에 normalize=False를 전달하면 내부 정규화를 건너뛰어야 한다."""
pytest.importorskip("mlx.core")
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from src.mlx_filter import MLXFilter
from src.ml_features import FEATURE_COLS
n_features = len(FEATURE_COLS)
rng = np.random.default_rng(42)
X = pd.DataFrame(
rng.standard_normal((100, n_features)).astype(np.float32),
columns=FEATURE_COLS,
)
y = pd.Series(rng.integers(0, 2, 100).astype(np.float32))
model = MLXFilter(input_dim=n_features, hidden_dim=16, epochs=1, batch_size=32)
model.fit(X, y, normalize=False)
assert np.allclose(model._mean, 0.0), "normalize=False시 mean은 0이어야 한다"
assert np.allclose(model._std, 1.0), "normalize=False시 std는 1이어야 한다"
def test_walk_forward_purged_gap():
"""Walk-Forward 검증에서 학습/검증 사이에 LOOKAHEAD 만큼의 gap이 존재해야 한다."""
from src.dataset_builder import LOOKAHEAD
n = 1000
train_ratio = 0.6
n_splits = 5
embargo = LOOKAHEAD # 24
step = max(1, int(n * (1 - train_ratio) / n_splits))
train_end_start = int(n * train_ratio)
for fold_idx in range(n_splits):
tr_end = train_end_start + fold_idx * step
val_start = tr_end + embargo
val_end = val_start + step
if val_end > n:
break
assert val_start - tr_end >= embargo, \
f"폴드 {fold_idx}: gap={val_start - tr_end} < embargo={embargo}"
assert val_start > tr_end, \
f"폴드 {fold_idx}: val_start={val_start} <= tr_end={tr_end}"
def test_ml_filter_from_model():
"""MLFilter.from_model()로 LightGBM 모델을 주입할 수 있어야 한다."""
from src.ml_filter import MLFilter
from unittest.mock import MagicMock
mock_model = MagicMock()
mock_model.predict_proba.return_value = [[0.3, 0.7]]
mf = MLFilter.from_model(mock_model, threshold=0.55)
assert mf.is_model_loaded()
assert mf.active_backend == "LightGBM"